RESEARCH PAPER
PRICE SENSITIVITY ON THE GLOBAL WHEAT MARKET
More details
Hide details
1
Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics National Research Institute
Submission date: 2023-07-26
Final review date: 2024-04-11
Acceptance date: 2024-07-08
Publication date: 2024-09-27
Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej / Problems of Agricultural Economics 2024;380(3):66-89
KEYWORDS
JEL CLASSIFICATION CODES
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
This article concerns the issue of price sensitivity on the global wheat market, understood as the ratio
of the change in prices to the change in the volume of harvests and stocks as supply variables.
This sensitivity was investigated using a model approach, applying it to the market as a whole and to
exporting and importing countries. To capture the essence of this sensitivity, a simplifying assumption
was made about demand as an a priori given variable. The results of the study indicate that with
large amplitudes of changes in both the volume of harvests and stocks as well as price levels, the level
of price sensitivity, i.e., how prices react in percentage terms to a 1% change in harvests and stocks,
is relatively low. At the same time, this sensitivity is greater for harvests than for stocks. The aim of
the study is to present general trends in the price sensitivity coefficient. The period of empirical analysis
covers almost 60 years. The results of the study are of both cognitive and utilitarian significance,
in particular for methods of prediction and forecasting of the market situation and for agricultural
policy formulation. It is also a politically important issue at the moment.