RESEARCH PAPER
PROSPECTS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF POLISH AGRI-FOOD EXPORTS TO THE REGIONAL COMPREHENSIVE ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP COUNTRIES
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1
Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics National Research Institute
2
Poznań University of Life Sciences
Submission date: 2022-09-12
Final review date: 2022-10-03
Acceptance date: 2022-10-18
Publication date: 2022-12-22
Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej / Problems of Agricultural Economics 2022;373(4):46-74
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ABSTRACT
The aim of the article is to describe Polish agri-food exports to countries that are members of the R egional
Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and to assess the possibilities of developing exports
of P olish food producers to the markets of these countries. The study was conducted, among others,
with the use of a synthetic perspective index based on the data from Statistics Poland and the WI TSComtrade
database. The study shows that RCEP countries have a relatively low share in Polish agrifood
exports (2.7% in 2021) and the trade is characterized by a permanently negative balance of food
turnover. In the context of the growth prospects for Polish exports, it is difficult to speak of the same
product groups in all markets. On the contrary, the choice of a given market determines which products
can be regarded as prospective in Polish exports to this market. The products include not only processed,
but also agricultural and low-processed ones. There is a risk that the agreement, which has been
in force since the beginning of 2022, will cause the diversion effect, consisting in reducing the trade
of RCEP countries with non-RCEP countries. This may make it necessary to adapt the trade strategy
implemented on the A sian market by EU countries, including Poland, to the new conditions.